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Saturday, February 1, 2014

Council of Europe’s contribution to find a solution to the Western Sahara conflict





Strasbourg (France)- February 1, 2014 (SPS) -  Rapporteur of the Committee for Political and Democratic Affairs of the Council of Europe’s Parliamentary Assembly Liliane Maury Pasquier presented on Wednesday, at the headquarters of the Council of Europe in Strasbourg, its first report on Western Sahara before the Committee for Political and Democratic Affairs, entitled "Contribution of the Council of Europe to a solution to the Western Sahara conflict."

Appointed by the Council of Europe to prepare a report on the situation in Western Sahara, Maury Pasquier paid two visits to the occupied territories and the Sahrawi refugee camps in May and October to discuss how Europe could contribute to resolve the conflict in Western Sahara.

Representatives of the Saharawi civil society including human rights defenders, Mtou Ahnini Mostafa, member of the Association of Parents of Saharawis prisoners and disappeared and Ghalia Adjimi representing the Sahrawi Association of Victims of human rights violations committed by the Moroccan State were invited to testify.

Ghalia Adjimi seized the opportunity to "refute Morocco’s allegations" on democratic development in the territory of Western Sahara and to discuss the ongoing violations against the fundamental freedoms of the Saharawi people. (SPS)
 

7 Myths About Getting Pregnant



Apparently sex ed left a few gaps in our baby-making knowledge 





We’d like to think that we’ve gained a little expertise about baby-making since our teenage years. After all, we no longer think you can’t get pregnant your first time or that birth control ruins your future chances of having a baby. But apparently most women still have a ton of misconceptions about their fertility, according to a recent study in the journal Fertility & Sterility. And while having the wrong info in high school was embarrassing, believing these myths now can really screw with your chances of getting pregnant. Check out some of the most common myths the study uncovered, and get the facts behind each one.

Myth #1: Your Weird Period Won’t Affect Your Chances of Getting Pregnant




If your time of the month is wildly unpredictable, it can definitely impact how long it takes you to get pregnant. If you have only a few periods a year, you’re automatically reducing your probability of conceiving, says study author Lubna Pal, M.S., F.A.C.O.G., associate professor of obstetrics, gynecology, and reproductive sciences at Yale School of Medicine. And if your cycle varies in duration from month to month, it’ll be harder to pinpoint exactly when you’re ovulating.

Myth #2: Having Sex More Than Once a Day Will Up Your Odds of Getting Pregnant



Half of women falsely believe this myth, and while it almost seems probable, it’s definitely not true. “Unlike a woman, who releases one egg each cycle, in an ejaculate there are millions of sperm, and only one sperm is needed to do the job,” says Pal. Plus, every time your guy ejaculates, the volume of it goes down, as well as the number of sperm released. “Having intercourse more than once does not enhance the ability for that one sperm to get where it needs to be,” says Pal. Of course, that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t get it on multiple times if you just want to for fun.

Myth #3: That STD You Had in Your 20s Probably Didn’t Affect Your Fertility 


More than one-quarter of women don’t know the impact that STDs can have on fertility. Unfortunately, many STDs like chlamydia, gonorrhea, and pelvic inflammatory disease can result in damage to your fallopian tubes, says Pal. And when your tubes are blocked, the chances of sperm and egg meeting are decreased. Even if they do meet, your odds of having an ectopic pregnancy increase with tubal damage. That’s why it’s crucial to diagnose and treat STDs as soon as possible, says Pal. And if you’ve had a history of STDs, consult your physician as soon as you’re ready to get pregnant in order to identify any damage and improve your odds of conceiving.


Myth #4: Getting Older Doesn’t Have a Huge Impact on Fertility—Tons of Women Have Babies in Their 40s!




Shockingly, one-fifth of women are unaware of the effects of aging on fertility. While it certainly seems like many women are getting pregnant later in life, that doesn’t mean it’s easy to get knocked up past your mid-30s. In general, it’s around age 36-37 when you see a change in your ability to conceive, says Pal. “It takes longer to get pregnant, you’re more likely to miscarry, and more likely to have a child with genetic abnormalities such as Down syndrome.” Of course, that doesn’t mean that every woman follows the same trajectory—how quickly you get pregnant will vary, depending on various factors (like if you’re a smoker or if your mother conceived much later in life). “Advancing age is detrimental to egg quantity and quality, but that concept needs to be individualized to the woman,” says Pal.

Myth #5: Certain Sex Positions Increase Your Chance of Getting Pregnant




No, gravity doesn’t play a role in getting you knocked up, though more than one-third of women think specific positions could work better than others. Even though this is totally false, it’s not exactly a harmful myth to believe, says Pal. That is, it won’t negatively impact your chances of getting pregnant. So if you want to tell your guy that girl-on-top has a way better success rate, we won’t tell.

Myth #6: When You’re Trying to Get Pregnant, You Should Wait Until Ovulation Occurs or Just After It Occurs to Have Sex




Only 10 percent of women in the study knew that sex should happen before ovulation in order to get pregnant. If you’re using an at-home ovulation test, that will tell you when you get the surge of hormones right before ovulation, which means ovulation may be 24-48 hours away, says Pal. That means you should start having sex pronto because sperm can live in your body and fertilize an egg up to three to five days after you have sex. So if you wait until ovulation begins, you’re essentially missing your window, says Pal.


Myth #7: Your Gyno Will Let You Know If You Have Any Problems With Fertility




Only 50 percent of women reported ever having discussed their reproductive health with their doctors. That’s huge because when you go in for your annual gyno visit, your doctor is usually only focused on what’s going on that day. They’re probably not going to talk to you about your chances of getting pregnant and what factors can help or hinder your odds—unless you bring it up first, says Pal. Her advice: Make a point of discussing your fertility—and be sure to take notes!


Source: womenshealthmag.com

XASUUS MURUGO LEH: Duqeyntii Borama ee diyaaradaha Xabashida 30 kii January 1984 iyo Maatadii ay ku xasuuqeen




By Mohamed Osman dhirane

Waxa ay aheyd subax Isniineed, 30kii January 1984. Xilligu waa jiilaal,
dhulka oogadiisa oo dhan waxa ku shaqlanaa dhedo iyo ciiro ay soo
jiiteen buuraha dhaadheer ee magaalada ku xeeran. Dadku nabad ayey ku
waabariisteen intooda badanina waxa ay ku foofeen hawl
maalmoodkoodii, ganacsatadu waxa ay fureen irridihii meheradahooda,
dadkuna waxa ay bilaabeen wax kala iibsi .Waxay aheyd goor ay bulshadii
miyigu iyagoo wada waxyaabihii noloshooda iyo magaaladaba lagama
maarmaanka u ahaa sida: Subagga, Caanaha, qoryaha (xaabada), dhuxusha
iyo xoolahaba ay ku soo beegnaayeen badhtamaha suuqa Waxay aheyd wakhti
intii safreysay iyo intii sagootineysayba ay is lahaayeen tusan iyo
macasalaama. Wakhtigaas ardeyda iyo macalimiintuba waxay ku hawlanayeen
dhigita iyo dhageysiga casharada dugsiga.

Cidina ma fileen wax dareen colaadeed oo ku soo fool leh. Hase yeeshee
waqti ay saacadu aheyd tobankii subaxnimo ayaa dadka qaarkii ay maqleen
guux ,dareen weyn baa galay dadka ,hase yeeshee samada waxba lagama
arkeyn oo dhedo iyo ciiro ayaa weli ku shaqlaneyd buuraha figtooda.
Guuxii waa uu soo dhawaaday dadkii oo dhamina sakati iyo werwer ayey
dhagaha la taageen, cidise ma haleelin dhaqaaq ka badan dhowr talaabo.
waxa markaliya isha lagu dhuftay oo soo kulay dadkii raxan diyaaradaha
dagaalka oo ka soo dhex baxay ceeryaantii kuwasoo soo laalaadiyey
gantaalihii iyo bombooyinkii ay xambaarsanayeen. Magaaladii oo dhan waxa
qariyey siigo, olol onkod iyo dayaan is wata oo dadkii oo dhan ku riday
argagax naf iyo noloba ka quusiyey.

Isla maalintaa isniineed saacaddu markay aheyd 2:15 (labadii iyo rubuc
)ayaa Radio muqdisho warkiisii dhurnimo lagu sheegay in dayuuradaha
dagaalka ee maamulkii Mingistu ee Ethiopia ay weerar ku soo qaadeen
degmada Borama iyo tuulada Goraya Cawl oo ka tirsan degaanka gobolka
Awdal . Weerarkaas bahalnimada waxa geystay lix dayuuradood oo ah ku
dagaalka oo noocoodu ahaa miig 21 iyo miig 23. Isugeyntii dadkii ku
dhintay weerarkaas waxa ay gaadheen 70 qof oo 37 ka mid ah ay ahaayeen
ardeydii dugsiyada hoose ee degmada Borama.. kuawsoo da,adoodu
udhaxeysay 6-14 jir iyo afar macallin oo shaqo qaran ahaa. Waxa kaloo ku
dhaawacmay 110 kale oo iskugu jira arday iyo shacbiga ba.,iyadoo isla
markaana ay burburiyeen 70 guri iyo afar dugsi oo hoose /dhexe iyo
xaruuntii xanaanada caruurta (MCH)

Intayadii warkaas dhageysatay ee xamar ku nooleyd waxan la istaagnay
naxdin iyo argagax iyadoo qofwalba oo reer Awdal ahi ka fakarayey sidii
war intaas ka faahfaasan loo heli lahaa . Waxan dabadeed tagnay boostii
Xamar ee Telefoonada halkasoo reer Awdal ay saf ugu jireen . waxa noo
suura gashay in ogaano in adeerkay oo aan guri wada daganeyn oo la
yiraahdo Maxamed Cabdilaahi mixile nasiib daro ay walaashii oo sadexani
ku jirtay dadka ku geeriyooday weerarka . waxay ilmaheeda ka soo
kaxeysay xarunta xanaada caruurta midna dhabarka ayey ku siday markii
weerarku haleelay , halkaas ayaa saddexdoodiiba ay ku dhinteen(alaa
yarxama).waxan usoo baxnay Arbacadii socdaal aniga iyo mixile iyadoo
dayaaradan ay saarnaayeen dad reer Awdal oo sidoo kale qoyskoodii
geeridu ku dhacday. waxan nimid Hargeysa oo aan markiiba dhaafnay si aan
tacsida ugaarno .Dhamaan baabuurta Hargeysa ka baxeysay waxay sideen dad
gurmad oo ka kala yimid gobolada dalka .




Dadka magaalada waxa ka muuqatay jawi geeri, argagax iyo naxdin ,inteeda
badanna waxa magaalada qariyey teendheeyooyin laga dhisay guryaha
hortooda oo lagu qabanayey tacsida.waxa se la isku gubabinayey in samir
iyo dulqaadka lagu dadaalo.Sarkaal ka tirsan bangiga degmada boorama
ayaa ii sheegay in weli uu naxsan yahay waxa uu yidhi “waxa ku jiray
bangiga mar qudha ayaa albaabadii iyo daaqadihii ay soo dhaceen gantaal
nagu dhacayna ma jirin”.

Waxa magaalada yimid wufuud badan oo ka tirsanaa xukuumadda iyo ku
shisheeha oo ka kala socday safaaradaha Masar, Mareykanka , Shiinaha,
Ingiriiska, Faransiiska iyo kiiniya kuwasoo tagay oo booqday xabaal
wadereedii (mass grave) lagu aasay dadka. iyagoo weliba ubax dhigay
taalo loo qoondeeyey in lagu xasuustoo xasuuqaasi bahalnimada ah . waxa
kaloo yimid weriyaal isku jira soomali iyo ajnabi ah . Gabadh ka
tirsaneyd wariyaasha oo ka socotay tvga magaalada Henlay oo ay Borama
mataano yihiin ayaa ii sheegtay “inay ilmeysay markii ay cusbitaalka
boorama ku booqatay dhawacii oo ku jirtay gabadh yar oo sideed jir ah oo
ku indho beeshay weerarkaas”.

Gudoomiyaha golaha degaanka degmada Borama Sh Cabdillaahi Sh. Cali
Jowhar ayaa ii sheegay”in weerarkan lala beegsaday dad caruur iyo maato
ah oo aan waxba geysan (soft target) ka soo ka baxsan aadaminimada,
waxanu urajeeyey in samir iy iimaan ka siiyo dadka reer Borama intii
dhimateyna ilaahay unaxariisto “

Magacda ubaxii ama shuhaddadii ku nafwaayey  xasuuqii foosha xumaa ee
xabashida.

N°              Magac (Names)       Da’ (age)        Fasal (Grade)
1     Ilyaas  Ibraahim  Maydhane         12            4
2     Ismaaciil   Muuse   Tubeec           13            4
3     Abadir       X/ibrahim Xaaji          11            4
4     Axmed  Idiris  Ibraahim                12            4
5     Axmed     Ibraahim   X/ bookh     12            4
6      Ubax   Cumar   Maydhane          10            3
7     Anisa      daahir     Caateeye         10           3
8     Maxamuud  Maxamed  Daahir     10           3
9     Yaassiin  Daahir   Ibraahim          10           3
10     Abdi  Hassan  Cali                       9           3
11     Abdi   Ahmed  Yuusuf                10           4
12     Husseen   Maxamed    Nuur       12           3
13     Sacaada Cabdulle Faarah           10           3
14     Maxamed  Xasan  Faarah            9           3
15     Nimca   Maxamed  Xirsi            10           3
16     Rashiid  Huseen  Cige                10           3
17     Cabdi   Ismaaciil Xasan              11          3
18     Maxamed Aw/ Aadan   Cabdi      8          2
19     Khadra   Maxamed   Xirsi            9          2
20     Maxamed     Idiris  Miicaad         8          2
21     A/risaaq   SH/maxamed              10          2
22     Sahra  Aaden                                6         1
23     Faadumo  orod ku dharag            6         1
24     Fa’isa  H/Ibraahim Muusae        12         4
25     Ruqiya  Maydhane Muxumed    10         2
26     Hibo  Axmed Ali    yey              11         4
27     Maxamed   Xasan  Xandulle      13         4
28     Hinda   Axmed  Cilmi                10         3
29     Hibo    Barkhad   Qayaad             9         3
30     Qayaad   Barkhad   Qayaad       11         4
31     Deeqa    Yuusuf    Cige              10         3
32     mustafe  Cilmi   Weyrax             9         2
33     C/laahi   Nuur   Cumar              14         8
34     Axmed   Cabdi   Barre               11         3
35     Kaltuun   Abubakar   Sheekh     10         4
36     Warla   Cilmi   Subagle                9         3
37     Sucaad   Cali   Obsiiye               14         7






Odhaahda qoraha:


waxan qoraalkan sameeyey 30  sanadood wakhti laga joogo  markaa uu
weerrarkani dhacay waxana uu hordhac u ahaa buug aan qoray markii aan ka
noqday gurmadkaas oo magaciisa la yiraahdo Awdal 1884 soona baxay 1986.
kasoo aan si qoto dheer ugu lafo guray Awdal iyo qarnigii 19aad oo kasoo
bilaabmay 1884 markii shisheeyuhu ay arimaha dhulkeena ay faraha la soo
galeen . Wakhtigaas odayaasha Gadabuursi waxa ay ingiriiska la
seexiideen Heshiis (Anglo-Gada Treaty of 1884) inkastoo ingiriisku aanu
fulin oo uu khayaameeyey , dhulkoodiina uu bixiyey. waxa dhacdadani ay
xidheysaa hal qarni oo ku beegan (1884-1984) oo cadawgu baabiiyey
dawladnimadii Awdal iyo magaalo madaxdii xukuumadii Awdal (Seylac) oo
soo jirtay qarniyaal badan.

Waxan mar hore idiin soo bandhigay qoraalo dhowr ah oo ku saabsan
taariikhda Awdal ee qarnigii 19aad oo kusoo baxay warbaahinta.

Spanish Air Forces Rotate EU Naval Force Aircraft Crew In Djibouti



The 33rd Spanish Air Forces Maritime Patrol and Reconnaissance Aircraft (MPRA) crew joins the EU Naval Force (EU NAVFOR) Somalia Operation Atalanta. The 32nd and 33rd crew rotations performed their hand over in Djibouti on 23 January 2014.
Spanish MPRA detachment is composed of 44 people. The aircrew and maintenance members usually join the mission for a two months period.


During the last two months with the EU’s counter-piracy Operation Atalanta, the outgoing personnel of the 32nd rotation, usually based in Palma de Mallorca with the Spanish Air Forces Wing 48, has flown 25 night and day sorties.
With more than 200 flying hours, they have flown over 26.000 nautical miles. This comes up to at least one trip all around the world.

Spanish detachment of the EU Naval Force MPRA “Orion” has been able to fly without cancelling any tasked mission since June 2012. Their contribution to the EU’s counter piracy operation has been of enormous value, and their achievements are based on their outstanding willingness and enthusiasm.
“The outgoing crew can be proud of the tremendous job they achieved in their four months in area of operation. I am sure I can count on the new personnel to take on the duty with the same excellent standards” stated the Force commander, Rear Admiral HervĂ© BlĂ©jean.
EU Naval Force MPRAs are used for long-range maritime reconnaissance and search and rescue missions.

First Pirate Attack In 2014 In The Gulf Of Aden Resulted In Apprehension Of Suspects By EU Naval Force




On Saturday 18 January 2014, the French EU Naval Force (EU NAVFOR) Somalia Operation Atalanta flagship FS Siroco in cooperation with Japanese assets released the crew of a Dhow that was suspected to have been used as pirate mother-ship. The flagship apprehended 5 suspected pirates believed to be responsible for an attack on an oil tanker in the Gulf of Aden a day earlier.
The oil tanker issued a distress call to the UK Maritime Trade Operation (UKMTO) on the evening of Friday, 17 January, reporting to be under attack. According to the reports, the attack was repelled by a private armed security team embarked on board the oil tanker. The skiff then headed to a dhow which lingered nearby.

The EU Naval Force, in cooperation with other Counter Piracy Forces, reacted quickly to this incident. A Japanese Maritime Patrol Aircraft and a helicopter from the Japanese vessel JS Samidare, in associated support to the Combined Maritime Forces (CMF/CTF 151), initially located the dhow. The EU NAVFOR flagship FS Siroco was then able to close distance to the dhow and launch their helicopter and boarding team.
Upon nearing the dhow, the helicopter crew and boarding team observed that people on board the dhow were throwing equipment over board, deepening the suspicion that the dhow was indeed the reported pirate mother-ship.

Once the Siroco’s team boarded the dhow, 5 Somali suspect pirates surrendered and were separated from the dhow’s crew and transferred to FS Siroco for further investigation. As always, the EU Naval Force seeks, if possible, a legal finish with the prosecution of the suspected pirates.
The master’s initial statement supported the suspicion that his dhow has been pirated and his crew taken hostage several days ago off the coast of Somalia. He also stated that the suspect pirates were responsible for the attack on the oil tanker the day before.

The EU NAVFOR Force Commander, Rear Admiral HervĂ© BlĂ©jean, said: “Thanks to an exceptionally effective international cooperation, we showed once more that there will be no safe haven for piracy in the area as long as Counter Piracy Forces remain fully dedicated to their task. I also congratulate FS Siroco with this success.”
EU Naval Force deters, prevents and represses acts of piracy and armed robbery off the coast of Somalia.  EU Naval Force ships protect World Food Programme vessels delivering aid to Somalia and AMISOM shipping. EU Naval Force ships also contribute to the monitoring of fishing activity off the Somali Coast.

The EU chairs in 2014 the Contact Group on Piracy off the Coast of Somalia (CGPCS). The EU is keen to mobilise international support to eradicate Somali piracy once and for all, not only by addressing the symptoms at sea but also by addressing the root causes of piracy ashore.

Face-to-Face Peace Talks Likely to Fail in South Sudan

 Peace talks won't solve the crisis in South Sudan. Africa-style justice will.




After a power struggle between South Sudanese President Salva Kiir and his former vice president, Riek Machar, plunged the world's newest state into crisis in mid-December, the international community dutifully mobilized to bring the warring parties to the negotiating table. Right now, as South Sudan slides toward open civil war, representatives from both sides are engaged in direct, face-to-face talks in Addis Ababa. Unfortunately, however, the international community is misleading Africa yet again. The track record for face-to-face negotiation in post-colonial Africa -- and in Sudan itself -- is abysmal. Instead of trudging down the same, well-worn path toward failure, South Sudan should look to traditional modes of conflict resolution to end the current standoff.

More than 40 wars have been fought on the continent since 1970. Year after year, one African country after another has imploded with deafening staccato, scattering refugees in all directions: Sudan erupted in 1972, Angola and Mozambique in 1975, and Ethiopia in 1985. Then came Liberia (1992), Somalia (1993), Rwanda (1994), Zaire (1996), Sierra Leone (1997), Congo (1998), Ethiopia/Eritrea (1998), Guinea (1999, 2010), Ivory Coast (2001, 2005, 2010), Libya (2011), Mali (2012), and now the Central African Republic and South Sudan.

Almost without exception, attempts to reach peace accords have ended in failure. The most common modality has been the direct, face-to-face negotiation between the warring factions -- a Western approach often pushed by a well-intentioned international community. But this has seldom worked in Africa.

Face-to-face negotiations only succeed when factional leaders want peace or are forced to pay a price for the mayhem they wreak -- conditions that have rarely been met in Africa. More often than not, conflict becomes profitable for warlords because it provides them with opportunities to rape, pillage, and plunder natural resources. For rebel soldiers, their weapons are often their livelihoods. Likewise, government soldiers sometimes live by looting, since they are routinely unpaid by their cash-strapped governments. Countless examples can be drawn from the wars in Liberia, Sierra Leone, Somalia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. Conflict also gives national governments a ready-made excuse -- "national security" -- to suspend development projects, halt provision of social services, and keep their defense budgets secret, thereby shielding corrupt dealings from scrutiny.

Face-to-face negotiations often reinforce these wartime patterns by failing to dole out punishment for combatants. Often, militant leaders are actually rewarded at the negotiating table, gaining the respectability and influence that comes with international recognition. Back in 1993, the late Somali warlord Mohammed Farah Aideed was transported in U.S. military aircraft to Addis Ababa to take part in peace negotiations. The spectacle raised Aideed's stature and bolstered his confidence in becoming Somalia's next president -- only months before his forces killed 18 U.S. Rangers in Mogadishu. In a similarly outrageous arrangement brokered by the international community, the head of the notorious Revolutionary United Front (RUF) -- which chopped off the limbs of everyone, including women and children, who stood in their way -- was made Sierra Leone's minister of lands and mines in 1999.

A related problem with direct, face-to-face negotiations is that they often lead to the establishment of what are invariably termed "governments of national unity" -- clumsy attempts to forge power-sharing agreements between warring factions that have only just agreed to put their weapons down. This, of course, defies common sense. How are mortal enemies expected to cast all suspicion aside and blithely work together for the benefit of all? Most of the time they don't, and conflict breaks out again (See: Angola in 1992, Congo in 1999, Sierra Leone in 2000, and Ivory Coast in January 2003). But it's not just that unity governments are destined to fail; it's that when they succeed, they amount to blueprints for the joint-plunder of the state. Ministerial and governmental positions are divvied up between government and rebel leaders -- invariably igniting bitter squabbles in the process -- and then the rent-seeking begins.

Making matters worse, African leaders seldom honor agreements they append their names to, much less implement them in good faith. During the Ivoirian crisis in 2003, for example, a peace accord was signed in Ghana establishing a power-sharing deal between the government of President Laurent Gbagbo, which controlled the southern half of the country, and rebel groups that controlled the north and much of the west. But conflict soon erupted over the distribution of cabinet posts, and Gbagbo flouted the accord by refusing to spell out the powers he would cede to the opposition and only funding the government ministries he controlled. Predictably, fighting broke out again, threatening to reignite the civil war.

A similar script played out in Liberia during the civil war that saw tens of thousands slaughtered, raped, and maimed between 1999 and 2003. At peace talks in Ghana in June 2003, President Charles Taylor, who had been indicted for war crimes by a U.N-Sierra Leone court, pledged to step down under a cease-fire his government signed with two of the rebel groups battling his regime. The agreement called for Taylor's resignation and the formation of a transitional government, composed of the government, rebels, and political parties, among others. But within hours of signing the accord, Taylor's government was backtracking on the question of his resignation. In the end, it was only after an intense bombardment of Monrovia -- coupled with heightened international pressure and an offer of political asylum in Nigeria -- that Taylor finally resigned in August 2003.

More than 30 such peace accords have been brokered in Africa since the 1970s -- and the track record has been appalling. Only Mozambique's 1991 peace accord has endured, and even now it appears shaky as clashes between the government and the rebel group Renamo have flared recently over implementation. Elsewhere, peace accords were shredded like confetti even before the ink on them was dry. The most spectacular failures occurred in Angola (1991 and 1994), Burundi (1993), Rwanda (1993), Sierra Leone (1999), Democratic Republic of Congo (1999), and Ivory Coast (2003). All collapsed because face-to-face talks were marred by brinkmanship and broken promises.

Even where peace accords are successfully concluded and unity governments are established, they are almost always short-lived. Angola's unity government failed after six months in 1992. Congo's 2003 unity government created four vice presidents but did not bring peace to the eastern part of the country. Burundi's civil war flared up again in August 2003, despite the establishment of a unity government brokered by former South African President Nelson Mandela and Ivory Coast's 2003 unity government has proceeded in fits and starts. Kenya's unity government has floundered since 2008; Zimbabwe's since 2009.

Given this record, it is difficult to be optimistic about South Sudan's current peace talks in Addis Ababa. Add to this the fact that the South's 2005 power-sharing agreement with Sudanese President Omar Bashir failed miserably and that Kiir and Machar have already tried a unity government, and the third time looks even less likely to be the charm. Another unity government simply doesn't make sense. Rebel leader Machar almost certainly won't agree to a deal in which Kiir remains president, and Kiir is unlikely to resign. Nor is there a clear military solution -- a bitter lesson from the post-colonial era is that no African government has successfully put down a rebel insurgency.

But perhaps Africa's own indigenous conflict resolution mechanism can offer a way out of the conundrum. The key ingredient in the African method -- missing in the Western approach -- is engagement with civil society. "When two elephants fight, the grass gets trampled upon and hurt," goes the African proverb. African conflict resolution, then, requires four parties: the two elephants, an arbiter, and the "grass" (composed of all those affected by the conflict.) Just as it takes a village to raise a child, so too does it take one to resolve a conflict.

In most traditional African societies, when two people cannot resolve their differences by themselves, their case is taken to a village chief's court for adjudication. The court is open and anyone affected by the dispute can participate. Both parties are invited to make their case. Next, anybody else who has something to say may do so. After all the arguments have been heard, the chief renders a decision. The guilty party may be fined, say, three goats. By default, his or her family is held liable. The injured party receives one goat, the chief is given a goat for his services, and the final goat is slaughtered for a village feast for all to enjoy.

The latter social event is derived from the African belief that frayed social relations need to be healed -- the "grass" restored. More importantly, the interests of the community supersede those of the disputants. If they adopt intransigent positions, they can be sidelined by the will of the community and fined for disturbing social peace. In extreme cases, they can be expelled from the village. In other words, there is a price to be paid for intransigence and for wreaking social mayhem -- a price exacted by the victims. The current system of internationally-mediated peace talks, by contrast, imposes no such punishment on the combatants.

Already, there is limited evidence that traditional dispute-resolution mechanisms can work on a much larger scale. Indeed, following the collapse of the former Soviet Union in 1989, African traditional methods were revived to sweep dictators out of power and transition to a democratic order. In 1989, after unpaid civil servants went on strike and demanded the resignation of Benin's military dictator, Mathieu Kerekou, a sovereign national conference was called representing various political, religious, trade union, and other groups encompassing the broad spectrum of Beninois society. The conference, chaired by Father Isidore de Souza, held sovereign power and its decisions were binding on all, including the government. It stripped Kerekou of power and scheduled multiparty elections that ended 17 years of autocratic Marxist rule. Similar inclusive national conferences in Congo and Niger (both in 1991) brought dictatorships to an end and set the stage for free and fair elections.

In South Africa, the vehicle used to make the difficult but peaceful transition to a multiracial democratic society was the Convention for a Democratic South Africa (CODESA). It began deliberations in July 1991, with 228 delegates drawn from about 25 political parties and various anti-apartheid groups. The government of F.W. de Klerk made no effort to control the composition of CODESA. Political parties were not excluded, not even ultra right-wing political groups, although they chose to boycott its deliberations. CODESA strove to reach a "working consensus" on an interim constitution and set a date for the 1994 elections. It established the composition of an interim or transitional government that would rule until the elections were held. Most importantly, CODESA's decisions were binding. De Klerk could not abrogate any decision made by the convention -- just as the African chief could not disregard any decision arrived at the village meeting.

Instead of facilitating direct negotiations in Addis Ababa, the African Union should serve as an arbiter between South Sudanese civil society organizations, and political and religious groups. An interim government should be set up -- headed by neither Kiir nor Machar -- and a date set for elections. If the two leaders remain recalcitrant, they should be fined proverbial goats for disturbing the social peace. By default, they should be expelled from the "village" and handed over to the ICC for prosecution for crimes against humanity. And just as the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) did to Mali when Gen. Amadou Sanogo seized power in March 2012, the African Union should close all borders with South Sudan and impose an economic blockade. When elephants have trampled the grass, they should not be rewarded with additional stomping grounds.

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