Saturday, April 6, 2024

What are the Real Causes of the deepening diplomatic rift between Somalia and Ethiopia?

A recent agreement between Ethiopia and the breakaway region of Somaliland has sparked tension and worsened diplomatic relations with Somalia. The deal involves the lease of coastline to Ethiopia, giving the landlocked country access to the Red Sea. Somalia’s government has expressed anger over the agreement, leading to a rift between the neighboring countries. While the dispute is currently limited to diplomatic tensions, there are concerns about potential wider consequences.

President of Somaliland Republic Muse Behi and the Prime Minister of Ethiopia Abiy Ahmed  

Political commentator Samuel Getachew, who specializes in Ethiopia, suggests that Ethiopia’s motivation for entering into this agreement with Somaliland is to gain strategic access to the Red Sea. This move could provide Ethiopia with a new route for trade and lessen its dependence on Djibouti for access to maritime trade routes. 


However, this decision has angered Somalia, which views the agreement as a violation of its sovereignty and territorial integrity. The rift between the countries highlights the complex regional dynamics at play.


Activist Sharmake Ali, representing the UK-Somaliland Alliance, emphasizes the importance of understanding the historical context of Somaliland’s breakaway from Somalia. Somaliland declared independence from Somalia in 1991 but has not gained recognition as a separate state. 


The recent agreement with Ethiopia could be seen as a bid by Somaliland to secure economic and strategic partnerships to bolster its position on the international stage. However, this move has provoked backlash from Somalia, which sees it as a challenge to its authority over the region.


Abdulkareem Jama, chair of the Heritage Institute for Policy Studies in Mogadishu, discusses the implications of the rift between Somalia, Ethiopia, and Somaliland. He highlights the potential for the dispute to escalate into a wider conflict and expresses concern over the lack of dialogue and cooperation between the countries. 


The volatile situation in the region could have destabilizing effects on the Horn of Africa and lead to further tensions between neighboring states. It is essential for all parties involved to engage in diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict peacefully.


The disagreement over the agreement between Ethiopia and Somaliland underscores the need for dialogue and cooperation among states in the Horn of Africa. James Bays, the presenter, raises the question of whether there could be wider consequences resulting from the rift. The lack of unity and consensus among regional actors could create a power struggle that threatens the stability and security of the region. It is imperative for all parties to prioritize peaceful resolution and diplomacy to avoid further escalation of tensions and potential conflicts in the Horn of Africa.


In conclusion, the rift between Somalia, Ethiopia, and Somaliland over the recent agreement highlights the complex regional dynamics and historical tensions in the Horn of Africa. The dispute underscores the need for dialogue, cooperation, and diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation and potential conflict in the region. It is essential for all parties involved to prioritize peaceful resolution and respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. 


The outcome of this dispute will have significant implications for the stability and security of the Horn of Africa, emphasizing the importance of finding a peaceful and mutually beneficial resolution to the conflict.



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